Champions League Last 16
Global 1-8
Crvena Zvezda vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SLR
0 - 3
CRV
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CRV
3 - 0
SLR
87%
8%
4%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
CRV
3 - 1
AEK
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
AEK
2 - 0
CRV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
CRV
1 - 0
RBS
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MON
3 - 0
BSC
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
MON
1 - 1
VAS
86%
10%
5%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
F95
1 - 3
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
MON
2 - 1
STP
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |