Europa League 1/32
Global 6-6
Crvena Zvezda vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 2
CRV
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
MON
5 - 1
CRV
80%
12%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CRV
0 - 3
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SLR
0 - 3
CRV
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CRV
3 - 0
SLR
87%
8%
4%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
BSG
1 - 2
BFC
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
2 - 1
LOK
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 2
CRV
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ZWI
0 - 1
BFC
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 0
FCU
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |