Champions League 1/16
Global 3-4
Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
CRV
2 - 3
VER
79%
13%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
VER
1 - 0
CRV
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 1
CRV
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
CRV
2 - 4
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CRV
3 - 0
LSK
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
57%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
VIZ
1 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1984 |
POR
0 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |