Champions League Last 16
Global 2-1
Crvena Zvezda vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
CRV
4 - 1
VKG
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
VKG
2 - 3
CRV
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
CRV
3 - 2
BYM
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 0
CRV
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 2
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
NEX
3 - 2
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 2
LAU
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |