Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-6
Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CRV
3 - 0
LSK
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
0 - 4
CRV
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
CRV
1 - 2
AND
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
AND
2 - 1
CRV
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CRV
3 - 0
BAN
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 4
FCB
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
APO
1 - 1
FCB
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 1
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |