Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 0
CRV
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
CRV
3 - 2
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1962 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAP
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
RAP
1 - 1
CRV
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 1
CRV
90%
7%
4%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
OSA
3 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
49%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 1
CCF
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 0
CRV
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
74%
15%
12%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |