Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 11-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Avenir Beggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 6
CRV
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
CRV
2 - 0
PAO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PAO
1 - 0
CRV
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRV
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
CRV
0 - 2
ATM
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 6
CRV
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
AVE
0 - 3
ACM
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
ACM
5 - 0
AVE
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |