Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1973 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRV
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
CRV
2 - 1
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
STA
0 - 1
CRV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
CRV
2 - 1
STA
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
CRV
1 - 0
TOT
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
5 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 3
ATM
38%
30%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATM
25%
31%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ATM
3 - 1
UDL
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |