Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-5
Crvena Zvezda vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BZR
0 - 0
CRV
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
VOJ
2 - 0
CRV
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
APO
2 - 2
CRV
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
HAJ
1 - 1
CRV
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CRV
1 - 0
BEO
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
APO
2 - 1
ANO
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
APO
2 - 2
CRV
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
APO
1 - 0
PEL
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 0
APO
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ANO
0 - 2
APO
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |