Cruzeiro U20 vs Fortaleza U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 3
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
CRU
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
GOI
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |