Cruzeiro RS vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
CIA
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
MET
2 - 3
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
BRU
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |