Cruzeiro RS vs Real SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
SSR
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLO
15%
24%
61%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 1
CRU
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 0
TUP
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
5 - 0
RSC
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 2
GRE
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 0
RSC
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 2
PEL
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 0
RSC
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |