Cruzeiro RS vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAX
3 - 3
CRU
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
GRE
7%
18%
75%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
CRU
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
4 - 1
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
NOV
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
4 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 2
NOV
83%
14%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +2 |