Cruzeiro RS vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 0
CRU
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 0
SCI
7%
16%
77%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
LAJ
0 - 3
CRU
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
AIM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
PEL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
VER
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
NOV
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 3
SCI
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |