Cruzeiro RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.7%
69.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
42%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 1
CRU
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SCI
4 - 0
CRU
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 2
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
SLO
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 0
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GLO
81%
15%
4%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
12%
23%
66%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |