Cruzeiro RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 2
ECA
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRU
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
CRU
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
RIP
92%
7%
2%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 4
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
5 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
RIP
2 - 3
GRE
8%
15%
77%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |