Cruzeiro RS vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SCI
4 - 1
CRU
83%
13%
3%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRU
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 1
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRU
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 2
NOV
28%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
ESP
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 0
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 2
PEL
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |