Cruzeiro RS vs Ceramica AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 2
ECA
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRU
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
CRU
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRU
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 0
ECA
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
3 - 0
CAC
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAC
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
YPI
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |