Cruzeiro RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRU
76%
19%
6%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
CRU
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 1
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
URS
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAP
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 0
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
LAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
75%
19%
6%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
CAX
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |