Cruzeiro RS vs Canoas SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
4 - 1
ECS
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
0 - 1
CRU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Canoas SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
3 - 3
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |