Cruzeiro RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
ESP
16%
24%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
CRU
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
GRA
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 2
PAS
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
URS
0 - 1
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
LAJ
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LAJ
1 - 0
BRA
49%
27%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |