Cruzeiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
16%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 0
UBE
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATP
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 1
AMF
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
1 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |