Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
16%
26%
58%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRZ
22%
28%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SCI
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
CRZ
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 4
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
0 - 1
VAS
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |