Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
CRZ
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
31%
25%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CRZ
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 4
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRÊ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 2
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |