Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
COT
1 - 1
CRZ
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 2
CRZ
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 2
BOC
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VAS
3 - 1
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |