Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
4 - 2
ATM
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
CRZ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 3
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 3
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 4
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 0
VAS
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |