Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-2
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1998 |
COR
1 - 1
CRZ
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
CRZ
3 - 1
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1998 |
AMA
1 - 7
CRZ
6%
20%
75%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
BVB
2 - 0
CRZ
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
VAS
1 - 1
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 0
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
VAS
3 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
AME
1 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |