Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
14.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1974 |
SCI
1 - 1
CRZ
44%
30%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
BAH
0 - 1
CRZ
30%
32%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 2
SCI
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1974 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAS
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |