Cruzeiro vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 0
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 0
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ULC
6 - 1
UCH
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 0
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 3
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 1
CUR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 1
RAC
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |