Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Cruzeiro vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
UCH
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |