Cruzeiro vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.9%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.5%
4-0
14%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.7%
1.2%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
CRZ
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
4 - 1
BOA
93%
5%
1%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
CRZ
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
USC
2 - 2
CRZ
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CRZ
3 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUP
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 0
DEM
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 0
CRI
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
TUP
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |