Mineiro 1 Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Cruzeiro vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.2%
1.3%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
7 - 0
DEM
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 1
CRZ
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AMF
0 - 0
CRZ
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
0 - 0
TUP
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 1
UBE
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USC
1 - 1
TUP
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
TUP
0 - 1
RBR
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
0 - 0
TUP
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUP
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |