Cruzeiro vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ATH
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
URT
0 - 2
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 2
PAT
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
NME
0 - 0
TOM
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 0
URT
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
COI
0 - 0
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
59%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |