Cruzeiro vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.6%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.6%
4-0
15%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17.9%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.5%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4.4%
0.9%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URT
0 - 2
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 1
MAM
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMF
0 - 2
CRZ
18%
23%
60%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MIN
0 - 2
CRZ
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 1
AMF
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 3
ATM
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
TOM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 1
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 1
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |