Cruzeiro vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
RIV
5 - 2
SPC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |