Cruzeiro vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
74%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAO
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |