Cruzeiro vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FLU
2 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRZ
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATM
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
CRZ
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
AVA
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
3 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCI
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |