Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-1
Cruzeiro vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 0
CRZ
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
RES
1 - 2
CRZ
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
RES
1 - 2
CRZ
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
5 - 0
RES
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 2
RES
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
RES
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
AUD
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |