Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CRZ
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATP
3 - 0
PPE
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
PPE
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PPE
3 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |