Cruzeiro vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1967 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1967 |
CRZ
3 - 1
SBO
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1967 |
UNI
2 - 2
CRZ
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1967 |
SBO
1 - 2
CRZ
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1967 |
CRZ
4 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
RMA
0 - 2
PEÑ
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1966 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
RIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 2
PEÑ
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |