Cruzeiro vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 3
CRZ
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
3 - 0
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
CRZ
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FFL
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 2
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAY
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FFL
6 - 0
PAY
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 0
ATM
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |