Cruzeiro vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
CRZ
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATH
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
CRZ
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
71%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
24%
31%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |