Cruzeiro vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
4 - 2
CRZ
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOA
75%
18%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 1
PAT
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |