Cruzeiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
CRZ
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 2
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COT
4 - 0
CRZ
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |