Cruzeiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BAH
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
INT
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
COM
3 - 3
CRZ
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ATP
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
NAU
0 - 1
INT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
NAU
0 - 2
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
42%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |