Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Cruzeiro vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SCI
4 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
CRZ
0 - 0
FLA
68%
18%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
CRZ
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 3
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CRZ
0 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 2
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 0
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 1
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 3
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
GOI
1 - 0
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |