Cruzeiro vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
71%
17%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 3
CRZ
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIT
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
COR
0 - 1
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
JUV
6 - 1
COR
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
JUV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |