Cruzeiro vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 4
CRZ
30%
29%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
3 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
OPE
65%
23%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 1
CRI
65%
23%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
CRB
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |