Cruzeiro vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 1
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 2
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRZ
34%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
0 - 2
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
IND
0 - 1
NOB
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
IND
1 - 1
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |