Cruzeiro vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CEN
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
VAS
1 - 1
CRZ
47%
28%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1975 |
ARG
2 - 0
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
IND
2 - 1
SLO
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 0
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TEM
1 - 0
IND
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |